2007 Projections: The Outfield

Part two of this series, the first post concerning the infield is here. Now, the outfield!

Nick Markakis

          R    H  2B  3B  HR  RBI  SB  CS  BB   K   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS
Marcel   64  125  23   2  14   57   4   1  39  65 .295  .357  .458  .814
CHONE    74  140  29   2  15   71   3   1  49  81 .291  .360  .456  .816
B. James 86  168  35   3  19   84   2   1  55  78 .307  .373  .486  .859
AVG      75  144  29   2  16   71   3   1  48  75 .298  .363  .467  .830

You gotta love the Bill James projection for this guy. While I would love for his production to be on the high side, I am leaning more toward the mean here. I'm going to say Nick matches the average projection and hope that he can take a big leap to eclipse it.


Aubrey Huff

            R    H  2B  3B  HR  RBI  SB  CS  BB   K   BA  OBP   SLG   OPS
Marcel     63  128  23   2  20   73   4   2  45  69 .274 .341  .460  .801
CHONE      70  139  26   2  24   71   3   2  50  68 .278 .350  .477  .828
B. James   72  152  31   1  24   84   2   1  51  77 .279 .346  .472  .818
AVG        68  140  27   2  23   76   3   2  49  71 .277 .346  .470  .816

These projections are all pretty much in the same ballpark (no pun intended). Huff will exceed these projections this year, especially in homeruns. He will hit at least 25 this season.


Corey Patterson

           R    H  2B  3B  HR   RBI   SB  CS   BB    K   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS
Marcel    65  120  21   4  16    50   27   6   28  106 .261  .309  .429  .738
CHONE     62  129  22   4  17    62   31   8   28  103 .269  .315  .438  .754
B.James   81  150  27   5  20    63   38  11   31  133 .261  .303  .430  .733
AVG       69  133  23   4  18    58   32   8   29  114 .264  .309  .432  .742

I'm a fan of Corey Patterson and love him in centerfield but there's no way Corey hits 18-20 homeruns this year. I hate to say this but he will not match the average projection this year, except the stolen bases which I expect him to exceed.


Jay Payton

          R   H  2B   3B   HR   RBI   SB   CS   BB   K   BA   OBP   SLG   OPS
Marcel   69 137  24    3   13    62    5    2   31  60 .275  .318  .413  .731
CHONE    59 146  25    2   13    62    3    2   32  58 .287  .333  .422  .755
B.James  39  82  14    1    8    35    3    2   17  33 .278  .324  .414  .737
AVG      56 122  21    2   11    53    4    2   27  50 .280  .325  .416  .741

These projections are based on over 500 plate appearances so this is an easy call to say Payton will not approach these raw numbers although I imagine his batting average and slugging will be in the ballpark.