Monday, April 26, 2010

Brad Bergesen Returning From Norfolk? Slow Down...

Brad Bergesen makes his first, and perhaps only start for Triple-A Norfolk tomorrow. A quality outing could lead him back to the Orioles and that May 1 start against the Red Sox at Camden Yards. - Roch Kubatko

Brad Bergesen wins in his first (maybe only?) start at Triple-A Norfolk. - Baltimore Sun Sports Twitter Account

Sunday, (Bergesen) went 7.0 and gave up just 2 ER...He should have May 1 circled on his calendar as his return to the Orioles as a starter and a bus ticket to Baltimore in hand. - Camden Chat

Do these guys know something I don't?

And do they remember how horrible Bergesen looked in his three major league starts?

So why would Bergesen go to Norfolk for a single start and come back to Baltimore? One solid start against AAA hitters is not enough for me to regain confidence. If you're going to use his option under the premise that he needed to work on his sinker and control, I sincerely doubt that he put everything together in one start. At least three would be my preference.

Besides, he's not the only option. Jason Berken can make a couple of spot starts (on May 1st and the 6th) or he could even split those two starts with Mark Hendrickson. After that, the Orioles wouldn't need their 5th starter until May 16th. If Bergesen is still mowing down the International League, bring him up then.

Or...give Jake Arrieta the call. Jake's line from AAA this season:

Arrieta 25.0 23 10 0 0.36 0.92

In addition, he is inducing a 53.7% groundball rate and has only given up 4 extra base hits this season. (By the way, Bergesen gave up 3 extra base hits, including a home run, for Norfolk on Sunday) Arrieta now has 21 starts in AAA and, even with some initial struggles after his promotion last year, has a 3.16 ERA over those starts. If you're going to pull the trigger and call someone up from Norfolk, Arrieta's the man...and Bergesen's start wasn't as sparkling as it looks in the boxscore.

When it comes to Jake Arrieta, Baseball Prospectus agrees. (subscription)


Sadler said...

I'm with you on Arrieta. Let the guy do his thing. The O's will need Bergy this year, I just want to make sure he has it when he has been called back up.

DempseysArmy said...

Yep. Really concerned that Bergesen comes back too soon and keeps on sucking.

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